Stimulating-Contact
0x80c55f332b703910681590996c16134d183c168a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
142
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 142- YES
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?
455 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Australia win?
232 shares @ 64.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
169 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
156 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- OVER
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5
109 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?
86 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during December press conference?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?
63 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.95Jul 20, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$189.00Jul 20, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$133.33Jul 20, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$83.33Jul 19, 22:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.20Jul 17, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$51.00Jul 17, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$20.35Jul 17, 17:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "What a Save" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$13.64Jul 16, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$32.39Jul 15, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$12.90Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "What a Save" during the England vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$6.13Jul 15, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101.25Jul 15, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$10.26Jul 15, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.24Jul 15, 17:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $21.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 03:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.