Realistic-Sultan
0x80cabdce3dd662f94d410e23152ee2fd66df2bf7
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$3.67
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$134.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
1048 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.67
$-196.33
- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
15638 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-359.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
5904 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-230.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
5372 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-399.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
5330 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?
4591 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
4269 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
3881 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
2941 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?$0.00May 21, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?$0.00May 21, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?$0.00May 21, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.1KFeb 28, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$101.00Feb 27, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$200.00Feb 27, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$100.00Feb 27, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$50.00Jan 31, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?$30.00Jan 30, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US not strike another country before 2027?$20.00Jan 30, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$60.00Jan 29, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?$360.00Jan 29, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$120.00Jan 23, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$49.00Jan 23, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$51.00Jan 23, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$50.00Jan 23, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$120.00Jan 15, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$500.00Jan 15, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$200.00Jan 14, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?$100.00Jan 14, 22:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $164.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 23:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".