Pitiful-Hip
0x80ce38618465b6f4027a16e38d4215e891703809
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$342.64
Total PnL
$-23.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by July 31?
83 shares @ 99.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$81.23
$-1.03
- YES
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 84.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$47.75
$5.75
- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by July 31?
40 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$39.30
$0.10
- NO
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
30 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.54
$-0.11
- NO
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?
30 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$29.52
$0.03
- NO
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of July 13 2026?
30 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$27.30
$0.90
- NO
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
20 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.81
$0.63
- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$19.00
$0.00
- NO
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 87.7¢·now 91.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$18.20
$0.65
- NO
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $39B by July 31?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$17.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by July 31?$29.51Jul 13, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $39B by July 31?$17.30Jul 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by July 31?$82.27Jul 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by July 31?$39.23Jul 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?$19.04Jul 13, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by July 31?$14.10Jul 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELL0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?$161.85Jul 13, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?$34.46Jul 13, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440 by December 31, 2026?$20.00Jul 13, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?$30.00Jul 13, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.00Jul 13, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of July 13 2026?$26.53Jul 13, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $182 Week of July 13 2026?$21.19Jul 13, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $183 Week of July 13 2026?$3.50Jul 13, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 14?$49.50Jul 13, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?$29.67Jul 13, 07:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?$42.00Jul 10, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?$17.64Jul 10, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $32.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 18:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.