Negative-Observation
0x80d4729bd794766acc7be225851aa514df89621a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.36
Realised
$56.41
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
533 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-21.87
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 11PM ET
102 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-19.33
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 9AM ET
30 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-6.76
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 10PM ET
25 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-8.52
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
13 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-6.69
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
9 shares @ 58.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 1AM ET
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 3PM ET
6 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.51
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.97
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 12AM ET
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2AM ET$0.14Dec 11, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)$2.24Dec 11, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards?$10.14Dec 11, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$13.62Dec 11, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)$31.02Dec 11, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2AM ET$1.00Dec 11, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2AM ET$6.46Dec 11, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2AM ET$1.97Dec 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2AM ET$1.00Dec 11, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)$0.97Dec 11, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)$1.00Dec 11, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$11.05Dec 11, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2AM ET$2.30Dec 11, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2AM ET$2.25Dec 11, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$3.00Dec 11, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)$1.55Dec 11, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)$4.63Dec 11, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 1AM ET$5.92Dec 11, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)$3.00Dec 11, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$2.00Dec 11, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 04:01 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 07:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.