Well-Off-Magazine
0x80db649e8042068f6e1902c39b9df15026947afc
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-173.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- RAPTORS
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$5.00
$2.60
- OVER
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$5.00
$2.10
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Volt Netherlands win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Angel Reese win the 2025 WNBA MVP?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 National League Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5$2.90Mar 20, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-6.5)$2.40Mar 20, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Nets: O/U 213.5$2.50Mar 20, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Clippers$6.67Mar 20, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Clippers$5.00Mar 16, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Celtics$5.00Mar 16, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5$5.00Mar 16, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5$5.00Mar 16, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5$2.35Mar 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bucks (-9.5)$2.80Mar 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5$2.70Mar 15, 19:32 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Lakers$4.00Mar 15, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMKings vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5$5.00Mar 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Lakers$1.80Mar 14, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Clippers: O/U 231.5$2.35Mar 14, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Clippers (-12.5)$2.70Mar 14, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Pacers$1.90Mar 14, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMBucks vs. Heat: O/U 233.5$5.00Mar 14, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Pacers$1.50Mar 12, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Heat: O/U 233.5$2.30Mar 12, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 22:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.