0x80e5f44998e37910c9339c56db34ea3a5e83aec8
0x80e5f44998e37910c9339c56db34ea3a5e83aec8
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$9.77
Total PnL
$-0.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$5.56
$0.70
- YES
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$2.24
$0.29
- YES
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of July 20 2026?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.45
$-0.53
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of July 20 2026?
3 shares @ 41.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.52
$-0.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 Week of July 20 2026?$1.26Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?$1.97Jul 21, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$4.91Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of July 20 2026?$2.00Jul 20, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$0.00Jul 19, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$0.00Jul 18, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-18?$0.00Jul 18, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5$1.04Jul 18, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$1.33Jul 18, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$1.57Jul 17, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$2.77Jul 15, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$0.00Jul 14, 21:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-14?$0.00Jul 14, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$1.06Jul 14, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$1.90Jul 14, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$1.30Jul 13, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$3.02Jul 12, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-11?$3.75Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5$0.00Jul 10, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$0.00Jul 10, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 03:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.