Vacant-Objection
0x80e91029913189f1cc9c7b8f76643076d4cc12f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-11.35
Win rate
0%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- DOWN
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 6?
100 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-76.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-86.00
- UP
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 24?
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- UP
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 2?
100 shares @ 75.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-75.69
- DOWN
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on June 12?
100 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-71.00
- YES
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 28?
100 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-72.00
- DOWN
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11?
100 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-79.00
- DOWN
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on June 12?
100 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-88.00
- YES
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMApple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 14?$100.00Jul 14, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta (META) Up or Down on July 14?$17.47Jul 14, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 14?$71.11Jul 14, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on July 14?$22.49Jul 14, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 14?$13.97Jul 14, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$31.05Jul 14, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 13?$100.00Jul 13, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 13?$84.54Jul 13, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$30.42Jul 11, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$26.19Jul 11, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$0.00Jul 11, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$100.00Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 10?$100.00Jul 10, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$62.44Jul 10, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 10?$81.62Jul 10, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta (META) Up or Down on July 9?$1.78Jul 9, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta (META) Up or Down on July 9?$30.48Jul 9, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 9?$57.01Jul 9, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 9?$6.54Jul 9, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 9?$24.57Jul 9, 14:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $57.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 20:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 20:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.