Natural-Nougat
0x80e92121872701a2e61ab4fa0cf56c0b3a8c1993
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-377.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
7539 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
5735 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
1875 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Taoiseach events?
1797 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
1667 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
891 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
687 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?
625 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?
601 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to MrBeast in March?
350 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?$8.00Apr 1, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?$7.00Apr 1, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$9.12Apr 1, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$5.71Apr 1, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?$10.00Apr 1, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?$8.00Apr 1, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?$2.99Apr 1, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$3.56Apr 1, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$11.44Apr 1, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$10.00Mar 31, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$10.00Mar 31, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$4.00Mar 29, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?$5.00Mar 29, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?$10.00Mar 29, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?$15.00Mar 29, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$10.00Mar 29, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?$5.00Mar 29, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike ≤1 countries in April 2026?$5.00Mar 29, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?$5.00Mar 29, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to MrBeast in March?$5.00Mar 29, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $15.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 14:44 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 21:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".