Uneven-Baggage
0x80e92e2e4443930150d36cd5c831e8f31279f25d
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
136
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$-231.60
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 136- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
63918 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-773.15
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
7219 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-385.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
1501 shares @ 92.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
1025 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
858 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
772 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
513 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-420.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
386 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
377 shares @ 95.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-359.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
321 shares @ 94.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-304.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.00Jul 30, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$54.95Jul 30, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$50.31Jul 30, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$9.41Jul 30, 15:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$10.39Jul 30, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$8.13Jul 30, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$7.00Jul 30, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$6.80Jul 30, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$7.15Jul 30, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$6.75Jul 30, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$7.13Jul 30, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$5.78Jul 30, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$60.67Jul 30, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$65.75Jul 30, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$48.91Jul 30, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$8.15Jul 30, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 05:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $25.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 17:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 17:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.