Supportive-Circulation
0x80e9d5d164d0917299c9efb18a739338c6cd7967
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-117.3K
Realised
$6.4K
Win rate
79%
91 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1?
53156 shares @ 89.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-47.7K
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?
15618 shares @ 94.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.8K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?
15384 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-195.71
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 7?
14953 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.5K
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 2?
13365 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on February 2?
13127 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 16?
11620 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-250.17
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 13?
10755 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on February 2?
10185 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-884.33
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on February 2?
10081 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-875.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 6?$1.07Feb 6, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 6?$1.45Feb 6, 14:13 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 6?$50.00Feb 6, 14:12 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on February 6?$98.00Feb 6, 14:12 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on February 6?$106.00Feb 6, 14:12 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 6?$236.09Feb 6, 14:12 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 6?$290.17Feb 6, 14:12 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,200 on February 6?$310.10Feb 6, 14:12 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on February 6?$370.00Feb 6, 14:12 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on February 6?$444.90Feb 6, 14:12 UTC
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on February 6?$611.42Feb 6, 14:12 UTC
- CONVERSIONEthereum price on February 6?$0.00Feb 6, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,300 on February 5?$170.43Feb 6, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 5?$192.56Feb 6, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 5?$237.13Feb 6, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on February 5?$270.00Feb 6, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on February 5?$296.50Feb 6, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on February 5?$310.02Feb 6, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on February 5?$335.06Feb 6, 14:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on February 5?$640.00Feb 6, 14:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
77/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 91 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
91 closed markets, 79% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $1.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 19:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 91 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.