Twin-Component
0x80ea545bb4be8d5e0e87bd2de54e4e063d9bded9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.6K
Realised
$1.7K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
82177 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-8.8K
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
42330 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
10677 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-266.21
- YES
Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
8115 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-153.98
- YES
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
4221 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-146.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?
3274 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-52.39
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?
1842 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-55.27
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1254 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-54.03
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?
1045 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-438.00
- YES
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
698 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-26.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?$52.39Nov 19, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $4.08Nov 19, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$54.03Nov 19, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$27.77Nov 19, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$2.70Nov 19, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$17.40Nov 18, 20:26 UTC
- MERGEWill Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$3.5KNov 10, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$3.4KNov 10, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$113.72Nov 10, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$230.01Nov 10, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$6.05Nov 10, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$2.07Nov 10, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$4.53Nov 10, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$112.40Nov 10, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?$15.00Nov 10, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?$423.00Nov 10, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?$55.27Nov 10, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$153.98Nov 10, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$26.53Nov 10, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.0KNov 2, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $596.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 19:51 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 22:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.