Loyal-Bear
0x80ecd2f1bd368686af5cc9ed8f32ed42fdf2e1b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$9.90
Total PnL
$-108.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
5004 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-6.56
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
1057 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
853 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Epstein testimony?
286 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Plane" during his Epstein testimony?
169 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Pam" or "Bondi" during his Epstein testimony?
164 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
155 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3?
140 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?$1.00Mar 5, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton say "Plane" during his Epstein testimony?$1.00Mar 5, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton say "Pam" or "Bondi" during his Epstein testimony?$1.00Mar 5, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton say "Mossad" during his Epstein testimony?$1.00Mar 5, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Epstein testimony?$1.00Mar 5, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$10.00Feb 11, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Feb 11, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 7, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$5.00Jan 7, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$40.48Jan 4, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.00Jan 4, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$34.00Nov 26, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Nov 26, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 13?$5.00Nov 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 12?$5.00Nov 12, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on November 12?$5.00Nov 12, 02:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 09:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 04:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".