Esteemed-Tumbler
0x80f6a817fa7a897a8f3b8f08614eced6cbf6dd1f
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$92.05
Total PnL
$-500.88
Realised
$2.63
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$34.00
$-6.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$20.00
$1.40
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.21
$0.61
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 88.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.29
$-2.30
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
100 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.80
$0.20
- YES
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.75
$-4.25
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
589 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-17.67
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on July 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on September 21?
100 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$18.60Jun 3, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.36Jun 2, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.24Jun 2, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$9.67Jun 2, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$18.60Jun 1, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$7.92Jun 1, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: May$29.96Jun 1, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS bank failure by May 31?$30.00Jun 1, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?$10.00May 14, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$0.14May 10, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$31.33May 10, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?$0.01May 8, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?$5.29May 8, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?$1.29May 8, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?$4.25May 7, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by May 31?$9.00May 7, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by May 31?$18.00May 7, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: May$21.29May 7, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$15.00May 7, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.04May 7, 00:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $10.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 18:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 14:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.