0x80fc5a0649f5b4f57ddd6e2c584e323e18eb585c
0x80fc5a0649f5b4f57ddd6e2c584e323e18eb585c
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$87.79
Total PnL
$-1.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
20 shares @ 75.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$18.57
$3.47
- NO
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
15 shares @ 65.3¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.05
$3.25
- NO
Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.00
$0.60
- NO
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$2.80
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
10 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.64
$0.05
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 2?
5 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$5.00
$0.24
- NO
Will Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?
5 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$5.00
$0.20
- NO
Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.00
$0.25
- NO
Will TISZA win 42-46% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.00
$0.75
- NO
Will EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.67
$1.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$0.99Apr 24, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?$3.15Apr 1, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$0.25Apr 1, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 2?$4.76Mar 31, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?$3.35Mar 30, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?$2.80Mar 30, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$3.60Mar 30, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$3.80Mar 30, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?$0.96Mar 30, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$3.80Mar 30, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?$4.70Mar 30, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYChengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5$4.00Mar 30, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$3.60Mar 30, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?$3.30Mar 30, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?$4.70Mar 30, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar strike Iran by April 30?$4.75Mar 30, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?$4.79Mar 30, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYChengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5$2.34Mar 30, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Frei be the Republican nominee for NE-02?$4.80Mar 30, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$3.75Mar 30, 15:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $3.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 13:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.