Scared-Warlord
0x810a4292b1fcbaa07032098b4ffba511dee700a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.16
Total PnL
$-19.33
Realised
$-7.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (March 15)
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 8?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 8?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 8?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
13 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 8?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
5 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
4 shares @ 25.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.20Mar 7, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country strike Iran by March 7?$0.99Mar 7, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 8?$1.00Mar 7, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 8?$1.00Mar 7, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 8?$1.00Mar 7, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 8?$1.00Mar 7, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.20Mar 7, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.25Mar 7, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?$0.73Mar 7, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?$0.92Mar 7, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.96Mar 7, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.93Mar 7, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 7?$0.71Mar 7, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.90Mar 7, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$0.91Mar 7, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?$1.00Mar 7, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?$1.50Mar 7, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?$3.00Mar 7, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?$1.00Mar 7, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 15:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 14:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 19:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".