Imperturbable-Orchid
0x81134ca47528889a0ad55f1fe81f5789c2bf288b
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-14.7K
Realised
$-1.5K
Win rate
46%
173 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 30?
417 shares @ 83.2¢·now 86.2¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$359.26
$12.49
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 1?
336 shares @ 82.3¢·now 84.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$282.24
$5.72
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 31?
242 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$204.51
$-1.31
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31?
197 shares @ 88.9¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$185.36
$10.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 29?
351 shares @ 44.9¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$184.04
$26.69
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30?
172 shares @ 80.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$155.80
$17.64
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 29?
150 shares @ 95.6¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$145.43
$2.08
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 30?
200 shares @ 80.3¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$118.00
$-42.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?
171 shares @ 58.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$101.45
$1.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 29?
274 shares @ 41.5¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$97.44
$-16.49
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?$658.53Jul 28, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 28?$192.98Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 28?$12.00Jul 28, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 28?$12.50Jul 28, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28?$653.68Jul 28, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 28?$52.53Jul 28, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 28?$72.42Jul 28, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28?$276.43Jul 28, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?$28.00Jul 28, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 31?$13.67Jul 28, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?$5.40Jul 28, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 29?$0.44Jul 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 31?$48.50Jul 28, 17:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 29?$9.15Jul 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 29?$19.00Jul 28, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?$4.65Jul 28, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 31?$3.38Jul 28, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 31?$8.47Jul 28, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 29?$3.45Jul 28, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 29?$0.65Jul 28, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 173 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
173 closed markets, 46% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $10.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 16:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 173 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.