Untidy-Officer
0x811552d746445b99c67c4efe371294c2c9012ba9
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$36.93
Total PnL
$-9.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will White House post 60-79 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
1934 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.89
$20.89
- YES
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
160 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$3.85
$-1.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23?
393 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.20
$-4.80
- YES
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?
115 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.60
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
40 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$9.35Jun 22, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 60-79 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$12.60Jun 22, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$5.25Jun 22, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 23?$5.25Jun 22, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$10.29Jun 22, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? AND Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw? AND Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?$10.29Jun 22, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? AND Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$5.15Jun 22, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?$0.00Feb 1, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMFour Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? $0.00Feb 1, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?$5.55Jan 22, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?$0.10Jan 22, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?$0.76Jan 22, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?$4.60Jan 22, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFour Trump Cabinet confirmations in January? $4.97Jan 22, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolves win on 2025-01-20?$0.00Jan 21, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?$0.12Jan 20, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden pardon Trump?$0.24Jan 20, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ipswich win on 2025-01-19?$0.00Jan 20, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham win on 2025-01-19?$0.00Jan 20, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win on 2025-01-19?$2.00Jan 19, 14:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $5.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.