Scrawny-Improvement
0x811f6a6206d525db2a2bfbe70b8e23e53e515ff8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-174.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C or below on April 21?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
250 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.17
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
230 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-17.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C or below on April 21?
185 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
94 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-28.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
85 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.36
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
57 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.67
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
45 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
39 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.68
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23.47Jul 10, 13:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $8.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 12:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.