Afraid-Foray
0x8124ebb70b2941dfa691b4775ed6ec0dc915938f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$386.60
Total PnL
$95.29
Realised
$-0.75
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 32.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$98.25
$50.25
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 14.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.00
$38.00
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
95 shares @ 77.1¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.97
$12.72
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 71.2¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$71.96
$15.00
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
70 shares @ 12.1¢·now 24.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.18
$8.71
- NO
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
15 shares @ 45.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.75
$6.00
- YES
Will Trump say "China" this week?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.67
$0.32
- YES
Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.79
$0.29
- NO
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
34 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.02
$-13.65
- YES
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
35 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" this week?$4.36May 18, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$57.93May 18, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$49.31May 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$57.62May 18, 02:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Boeing" this week?$1.50May 17, 17:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$14.20May 16, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$2.50May 16, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?$31.92May 16, 13:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 15?$3.75May 15, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Heaven" during Chinese State Banquet?$12.00May 15, 02:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$0.96May 14, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$0.72May 14, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.06May 14, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.35May 14, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.23May 14, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.17May 14, 22:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $8.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 23:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".