Variable-Commander
0x81250016cdb3e9343c53fd4f06337bbb557e02a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 24?
169 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 24?
102 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 24?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 24?$1.00Mar 24, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 24?$1.73Mar 23, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 24?$1.00Mar 23, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Porto win on 2025-09-29?$7.72Mar 23, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win on 2025-09-29?$5.87Sep 29, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$5.17Jul 16, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$3.00Jul 8, 17:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $2.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 17:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".