Live-Microlending
0x812d1bfbce4be54f9d9a13f0c3144fc6e6e975fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$6.61
Total PnL
$-1.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.75
$0.01
- NO
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.33
$0.01
- YES
Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
2 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$1.54
$0.03
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.51Apr 21, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$2.32Apr 21, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $600 in April?$2.74Apr 21, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.25Apr 21, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 5-11?$2.46Apr 21, 05:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.35Apr 21, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 5-11?$2.45Jan 9, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?$1.24Jan 9, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.22Jan 9, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.01Jan 9, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.13Jan 9, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.27Jan 9, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.00Dec 11, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.10Dec 11, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.20Dec 11, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Skenes win the 2025 NL Cy Young?$1.02Dec 11, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.10Dec 11, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.11Dec 11, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paul Skenes win the 2025 NL Cy Young?$1.01Nov 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.04Nov 11, 02:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $241.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 08:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 05:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.