Quick-Enquiry
0x812fb2a3e44296476582acb50058a945f3600cbb
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$2.82
Total PnL
$-17.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 91.6¢·now 74.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.82
$-0.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2603 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
2400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.05Jan 26, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be less than 4 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 26, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.02Jan 15, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMAI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.03Jan 7, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?$1.04Jan 7, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.05Jan 7, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine election called in 2025?$1.06Jan 7, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$1.09Jan 7, 05:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.01Dec 12, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?$1.03Dec 11, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$2.09Dec 11, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$4.07Dec 11, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.00Dec 11, 02:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 01:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 05:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".