Primary-Administration
0x8147de8598020e162cab1b903203b9bc7bf35039
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
89
Open notional
$48.72
Total PnL
$-779.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?
17 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$17.39
$5.39
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?
12 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$11.59
$3.59
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?
6189 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-462.64
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- 109K
Will Bitcoin hit $108k or $109k first?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on July 7?$0.00Jan 7, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on July 7?$0.00Jan 7, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?$8.00Jan 7, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 12, 2026?$10.00Jan 7, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026?$10.00Jan 7, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?$21.00Jan 7, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?$12.00Jan 7, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 8, 2026?$12.00Jan 7, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 12?$1.00Jan 7, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 11?$1.00Jan 7, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 10?$1.00Jan 7, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 9?$1.00Jan 7, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 8?$1.00Jan 7, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 7, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 7, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by January 31?$2.00Jan 7, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada's monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in November?$1.35Jan 7, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?$2.64Jan 7, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?$5.41Jan 7, 22:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $4.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 08:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 22:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.