Understated-Predecessor
0x814935ca05848d524c4ce84ce9c7c15cda09f490
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
87
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$41.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
3007 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-820.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
952 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
800 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
768 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-76.04
- YES
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 60 and 70 minutes long?
731 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
596 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Goal" 15+ times during September press conference?
482 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-240.00
- NO
Will Solana reach $240 in September?
417 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Alexei Gorinov win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
409 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
389 shares @ 77.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$7.14Mar 22, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$5.93Mar 18, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.11Mar 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$4.97Mar 18, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$3.00Mar 16, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$5.00Mar 16, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$5.00Mar 16, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$5.00Mar 16, 21:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$21.36Mar 16, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$130.04Mar 16, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$195.65Mar 16, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$303.03Mar 16, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$20.00Mar 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 12, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$100.00Mar 12, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$100.00Mar 12, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$200.00Mar 12, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$2.00Mar 12, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Mar 7, 23:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $15.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 20:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".