Scented-Sophomore
0x814cfb6def286ee6434e205a6d04041279f4f90a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$35.76
Total PnL
$-2.48
Realised
$-3.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
8 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.89
$0.09
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
6 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.55
$0.05
- NO
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.22
$0.02
- NO
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.85
$0.52
- NO
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.64
$0.01
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4% in 2025?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.45
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.20Sep 10, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$5.00Aug 23, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$5.00Aug 23, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.45Aug 23, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?$2.02Aug 23, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?$5.02Aug 23, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?$3.0KJun 26, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?$3.0KJun 26, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?$3.5KJun 26, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Marlins win the 2025 World Series?$3.5KJun 26, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$3.1KJun 24, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$3.1KJun 24, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?$3.6KJun 24, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 World Series?$3.6KJun 24, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill valid votes be between 30 million and 32 million in South Korean election?$7.54Jun 24, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?$10.61Jun 24, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill valid votes be between 30 million and 32 million in South Korean election?$7.40May 30, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?$10.30May 30, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$1.05May 30, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$1.11May 30, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $889.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 06:38 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 10, 14:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.