Raw-Incompetence
0x814dac692880b4353d4a2e9a578aee0d252106c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$6.05
Total PnL
$-24.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
USDC depeg by December 31?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
PYUSD depeg by December 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2025?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will only OP_CTV be activated in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will only OP_CAT be activated in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.26Dec 12, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.27Dec 12, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.0KDec 12, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.0KDec 12, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$500.00Dec 12, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$500.00Dec 12, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.0KDec 12, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$500.00Dec 11, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$500.00Dec 11, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.0KDec 11, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$15.00Dec 11, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$485.00Dec 11, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$487.17Dec 11, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$12.84Dec 11, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.0KDec 11, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$500.00Dec 11, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$484.00Dec 11, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$16.00Dec 11, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$196.00Dec 11, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$304.00Dec 11, 05:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $324.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 05:00 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 05:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".