Quarrelsome-Programming
0x8153bdcc51615ec1b321eb3fdd4c03f537b5e72f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$6.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
6 shares @ 88.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.00
$0.67
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
900 shares @ 94.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-854.10
- YES
Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
400 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3?
317 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-68.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
200 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-82.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- SPIRIT
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
170 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-137.70
- YES
Will Trump say "Death penalty" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Tariff" 6+ times during speech on October 14?
80 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-33.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$5.33Mar 13, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$137.70Mar 13, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$117.78Mar 1, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$854.10Jan 2, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$33.76Jan 2, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$60.00Jan 1, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$360.00Jan 1, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$399.60Dec 30, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$358.00Dec 30, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$27.00Dec 24, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$16.08Dec 23, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$9.89Dec 23, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$1.03Dec 23, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$19.99Dec 18, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$2.52Dec 18, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$12.19Dec 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$1.81Dec 18, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$0.60Dec 18, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$32.51Dec 18, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$14.01Dec 18, 17:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $73.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 08:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 20:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".