Vague-Emotion
0x81581fadd4718de4ed29c92d9645d1543ef6c1d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-4.56
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- NO
Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
452 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-190.00
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
357 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
196 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-59.47
- YES
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?
151 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
144 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-73.83
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
129 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
115 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-49.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
111 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$190.00Mar 22, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.21Mar 22, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.00Mar 15, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?$80.00Mar 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$2.00Mar 15, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$49.71Mar 15, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$20.00Mar 15, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Mar 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$20.00Mar 15, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$86.81Mar 15, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$7.00Mar 15, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$35.00Mar 15, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$36.46Mar 15, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$6.20Mar 15, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$30.00Mar 15, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.00Mar 15, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$45.00Mar 15, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$35.96Mar 15, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$25.00Mar 15, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?$20.00Mar 8, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $28.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 23:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.