Stale-Ignorant
0x815d1670666e0b6574efa1d5224fc1995bdb9b2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$22.28
Total PnL
$-38.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?
12 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$12.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- PENGUINS
Capitals vs. Penguins
42 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- 76ERS
Magic vs. 76ers
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- BLUE JAYS
Blue Jays vs. Yankees
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$19.97Oct 11, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$20.00Oct 11, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$9.80Oct 11, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$10.00Oct 11, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$9.78Oct 11, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$10.00Oct 11, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. 76ers$10.00Oct 10, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on October 7?$10.08Oct 10, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?$10.00Oct 7, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on October 7?$10.00Oct 7, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jays vs. Yankees$10.00Oct 7, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31?$12.00Oct 7, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMTwins vs. Blue Jays$14.29Oct 7, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on August 27?$16.24Oct 7, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on August 27?$16.00Aug 26, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTwins vs. Blue Jays$14.00Aug 26, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Penguins$19.00Feb 22, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brentford win on 2025-02-21?$0.00Feb 22, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford win on 2025-02-21?$16.00Feb 21, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMGrizzlies vs. Pacers$0.00Feb 21, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $215.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 11, 17:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".