Lazy-Conspiracy
0x81629ac1edcb86c2af38e6a9b63199a00401387d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$59.04
Total PnL
$-21.75
Realised
$-25.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-19?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$20.00
$1.20
- UNDER
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$20.00
$1.40
- KNICKS
Spread: Spurs (-24.5)
19 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$19.00
$1.14
- YES
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?
2 shares @ 4.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.03
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
1 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.01
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-24.5)$17.89Jun 3, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYQingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5$18.64May 29, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-19?$18.83May 19, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?$1.00May 19, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMHaras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC: O/U 4.5$13.00May 19, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMNorwich City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5$0.00May 19, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYHaras El Hodood SC vs. ZED FC: O/U 4.5$12.37May 7, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?$40.10Mar 11, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?$894.87Mar 11, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?$931.14Mar 11, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$15.29Mar 11, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$15.32Mar 11, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?$48.18Mar 11, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$1.0KMar 11, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$191.57Mar 11, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$817.85Mar 11, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$2.51Mar 11, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$3.13Mar 11, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?$915.32Mar 11, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?$286.27Mar 11, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $347.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 06:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 02:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".