Hurtful-Knitting
0x8163f76733e13a41daa8ff6591040df79619e061
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$135.00
Total PnL
$-126.35
Realised
$-33.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
90 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$90.00
$56.70
- NO
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
45 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$45.00
$12.60
- YES
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
100 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-39.00
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2025?
63 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.75
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
43 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-4.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOver $600M committed to the Monad public sale?$32.40Nov 19, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $400M committed to the Monad public sale?$33.30Nov 19, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$98.67Sep 17, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$1.08Sep 17, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?$0.25Sep 17, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMTrump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?$100.00Sep 17, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$62.10Sep 17, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump deploys National Guard to a blue city by September 15?$82.00Sep 11, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2025?$18.75Sep 8, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$100.00Sep 8, 17:31 UTC
- REDEEMFeds raid Jay-Z before April?$0.00Apr 20, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?$0.00Apr 20, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 by February 28, 2025?$0.00Apr 20, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $3500 by February 28 2025?$0.00Apr 20, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $3750 by February 28 2025?$0.00Apr 20, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. be Trump's HHS Secretary?$100.00Apr 20, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill McDonald's worker get reward money before April?$100.00Apr 20, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $3750 by February 28 2025?$5.75Feb 15, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $3750 by February 28 2025?$0.10Feb 15, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $3750 by February 28 2025?$0.66Feb 15, 10:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $26.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 22:37 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 17:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.