Fatherly-Godparent
0x8166935d7282dd79cc3ac35602ecafa1eaa46a51
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$125.20
Total PnL
$-219.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Starmer out in 2025?
82 shares @ 85.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$82.16
$12.12
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
30 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$30.00
$9.00
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
13 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.04
$7.04
- NO
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by August 15?
108 shares @ 46.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
100 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
75 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
70 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?
54 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?
52 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July?
43 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia by August 15?$50.00Aug 6, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?$6.69Aug 6, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$38.18Aug 6, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Yunakivka before August?$81.46Aug 6, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMEarthquake 7.0 or above before August?$36.36Jul 21, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$81.18Jul 16, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Yunakivka before August?$30.00Jul 16, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Yablunivka before August?$30.00Jul 16, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?$30.00Jul 16, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$40.00Jul 10, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEarthquake 7.0 or above before August?$20.00Jul 9, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$25.00Jul 9, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115K in July?$20.00Jul 9, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?$52.63Jul 9, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$12.50Jul 9, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?$30.00Jul 2, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out in 2025?$40.20Jul 2, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$61.00Jul 1, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? $40.00Jul 1, 12:24 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out before July?$311.20Jul 1, 11:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $41.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 6, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.