0x817c4c3f0fbab46c5d549e3f77a29707b42ec2c7
0x817c4c3f0fbab46c5d549e3f77a29707b42ec2c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$840.38
Total PnL
$-42.18
Realised
$6.90
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
78 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.76
$-1.17
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
76 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.02
$-1.14
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
240 shares @ 24.7¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$59.89
$0.60
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
162 shares @ 36.9¢·now 36.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$58.94
$-0.89
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
66 shares @ 89.7¢·now 86.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$56.90
$-2.21
- YES
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
93 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$46.74
$-2.31
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
182 shares @ 21.3¢·now 24.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$44.63
$5.86
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
265 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$43.55
$-1.46
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
85 shares @ 41.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.98
$2.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$21.98
$12.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$9.59May 19, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$5.25May 19, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$10.26May 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$10.22May 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$10.22May 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$10.22May 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$8.29May 19, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.22May 19, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$10.02May 19, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$9.28May 19, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$10.21May 19, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$8.20May 19, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$7.93May 19, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$9.14May 19, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$8.97May 19, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$8.97May 19, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$8.12May 19, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$10.29May 19, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$10.16May 19, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$10.27May 19, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 09:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".