Scholarly-Gladiolus
0x8180a4e82cfea1fb597965fffe8bd73b564fc0bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$51.80
Total PnL
$-936.70
Realised
$23.84
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
200 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$13.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
700 shares @ 7.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$12.25
$-41.44
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
300 shares @ 2.8¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$10.95
$2.65
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
200 shares @ 6.7¢·now 3.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$6.10
$-7.30
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.75
$-1.75
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
500 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.25
$-7.25
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-38.50
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
3000 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-471.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $63.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.