Outlying-Nudge
0x818262923acd9f7206a225b6bd4bf097b3133006
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on November 16?
10050 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NUGGETS
Kings vs. Nuggets
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Infinex FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.27
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
1 shares @ 76.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- ARMY
Tulsa vs. Army
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Kings
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMLoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$3.95May 26, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$2.41May 26, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$2.67May 25, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$2.01May 25, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs$3.02May 25, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs$2.01May 25, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Lakers$777.78Mar 9, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Lakers$630.00Mar 6, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.25Mar 6, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.13Mar 6, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$2.00Jan 1, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Pelicans$1.32Jan 1, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$10.38Jan 1, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Pelicans$1.00Dec 29, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$1.22Dec 29, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMEagles vs. Commanders$1.33Dec 29, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Celtics$1.35Dec 29, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$1.00Dec 20, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Celtics$1.00Dec 20, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEagles vs. Commanders$1.00Dec 19, 00:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $38.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 13:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".