Limping-Perspective
0x8187d7df2df7db060d7d29a2b02e3de8606ac0a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$26.76
Total PnL
$-9.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
27 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$26.76
$10.97
- YES
Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.60 on November 23?
473 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.47
- RANGERS
Rangers vs. Rays
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DIAMONDBACKS
Astros vs. Diamondbacks
13 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- PADRES
Padres vs. Marlins
8 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?$14.64Nov 23, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?$1.15Nov 23, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?$0.01Nov 23, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be greater than $2.60 on November 23?$0.47Nov 23, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMDiamondbacks vs. Brewers$16.00Nov 23, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiamondbacks vs. Brewers$2.48Aug 25, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiamondbacks vs. Brewers$5.58Aug 25, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiamondbacks vs. Brewers$1.86Aug 25, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMRoyals vs. Cubs$10.14Aug 25, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYPadres vs. Marlins$4.00Jul 22, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoyals vs. Cubs$7.00Jul 22, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAstros vs. Diamondbacks$6.00Jul 22, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$10.40Jul 22, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMDiamondbacks vs. Braves$25.00Jul 22, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRangers vs. Rays$10.00Jun 4, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiamondbacks vs. Braves$10.00Jun 4, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?$0.00Jun 4, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMStars vs. Jets$20.00Jun 4, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$6.00May 9, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYStars vs. Jets$11.00May 9, 13:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $47.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 23, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.