Fearful-Independence
0x8190816855b676a5efd8c5b344135a72337bb247
Quality score
99/100
Open positions
127
Open notional
$140.5K
Total PnL
$8.6K
Realised
$3.9K
Win rate
63%
73 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
21516 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.3K
$962.72
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
17999 shares @ 91.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.0K
$581.95
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
16500 shares @ 85.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.6K
$516.52
- YES
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
14859 shares @ 89.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.4K
$137.53
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
8200 shares @ 94.6¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.9K
$180.55
- NO
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
6818 shares @ 86.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.7K
$813.18
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
6003 shares @ 82.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.4K
$441.19
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
5440 shares @ 95.3¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.3K
$91.92
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
6710 shares @ 71.8¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.2K
$351.70
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5330 shares @ 90.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.9K
$106.71
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.441h ago
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$736.802h ago
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$738.402h ago
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$462.502h ago
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$3.182h ago
- REWARD$1.762h ago
- REWARD$1.292h ago
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$467.002h ago
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$572.402h ago
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$477.002h ago
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$407.622h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$1.203h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?$39.484h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$90.004h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$0.025h ago
- TRADESELLUS currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?$15.796h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$22.797h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$263.707h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$6.407h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$3.117h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $171.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 23h ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.