Failing-Manhunt
0x8199d2d2813a60bc15580cc97f2e0e54c73abb6d
Quality score
100/100
Open positions
34
Open notional
$7.4K
Total PnL
$380.40
Realised
$325.99
Win rate
100%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
3803 shares @ 87.7¢·now 88.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$19.79
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
1023 shares @ 86.2¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$910.67
$28.48
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
550 shares @ 94.5¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$521.12
$1.18
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 86.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$442.50
$10.50
- NO
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$195.60
$1.10
- NO
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 95.1¢·now 94.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$189.69
$-0.50
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
186 shares @ 94.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$181.28
$4.58
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$181.00
$1.00
- NO
Tucker Carlson arrested by May 31?
182 shares @ 89.6¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$174.84
$11.99
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
329 shares @ 51.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$165.99
$-2.65
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.116h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.266h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3.376h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.957h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.347h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.6410h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$85.1510h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$212.1911h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?$24.3513h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?$29.5213h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$310.0016h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$315.0016h ago
- YIELD$0.0017h ago
- REWARD$1.5817h ago
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.3918h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$25.0620h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$314.9922h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$124.0023h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$82.9823h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$8.5123h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $72.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.