Attached-Patina
0x81a0137b2e5640124a58aa8b1617be94d5292a60
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-123.68
Realised
$19.42
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on March 27?
2025 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 15?
647 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-21.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 6?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 24?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 4?
197 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 29?
158 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 4?
156 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-27.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 24?
154 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 15?
139 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?
124 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?$2.68Apr 27, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 26?$2.00Apr 25, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?$1.00Apr 25, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 25, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on April 26?$1.00Apr 25, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?$2.73Apr 24, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?$0.77Apr 24, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?$0.42Apr 24, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?$2.50Apr 24, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 24?$0.75Apr 24, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 24?$1.00Apr 24, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 24?$0.02Apr 24, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 24?$0.23Apr 24, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 24?$1.70Apr 23, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?$0.04Apr 23, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 25?$1.08Apr 23, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 25?$1.00Apr 23, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 24?$1.01Apr 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 24?$1.30Apr 23, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 24?$1.20Apr 23, 07:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 04:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.