Favorable-Law
0x81a7c6c06e40eedc0b82ca10b890b0ac03b5d833
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$65.76
Total PnL
$-10.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
60 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$60.42
$0.42
- CAPITALS
Flyers vs. Capitals
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$2.31
$0.81
- PENGUINS
Devils vs. Penguins
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- LIGHTNING
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4?
64 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Feb 18, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$60.00Feb 18, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYDevils vs. Penguins$1.00Feb 18, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaple Leafs vs. Lightning$1.00Feb 18, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlyers vs. Capitals$1.50Feb 18, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$10.20Feb 18, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$10.00Oct 9, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?$9.28Oct 9, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?$13.39Oct 9, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win on 2025-10-04?$12.35Oct 9, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-10-04?$10.00Oct 4, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by October 31?$15.00Oct 4, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?$10.00Oct 4, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on October 4?$12.00Oct 4, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on October 3?$78.33Oct 4, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on October 3?$61.10Oct 3, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?$5.00Oct 3, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?$5.13Oct 3, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?$10.01Oct 3, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on September 30?$40.96Oct 3, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $15.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 05:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.