Disguised-Chivalry
0x81ab29192ad6e9a685a49b60367f50cced7e8b07
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$27.94
Total PnL
$-57.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?
11 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.79
$-0.21
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
10 shares @ 97.1¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$9.40
$-0.60
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 82.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$8.75
$-1.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
11 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
11 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
10 shares @ 96.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill CZ post 0-19 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$6.45Jun 12, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$10.29Jun 10, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$10.99Jun 9, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 20, 2026?$10.02Jun 7, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$10.01Jun 7, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$10.03Jun 7, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$10.01Jun 7, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 0-19 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$5.06Jun 7, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$10.04Jun 7, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$10.21Jun 2, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 31?$7.94Jun 1, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$7.35May 29, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$10.99May 27, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 24?$9.65May 27, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$10.53May 25, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?$10.00May 24, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?$10.00May 24, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$10.00May 24, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$10.04May 24, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$10.02May 24, 20:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $8.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 18:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.