Ornery-Cuckoo
0x81ab60296a854ba7b498fff2adbce7c21913118f
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$3.39
Total PnL
$-540.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
42 shares @ 19.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.32
$-5.68
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$-1.93
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
4568 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-129.98
- YES
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?
833 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?
407 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
352 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Von der Leyen out in 2025?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?
204 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.