Lanky-Warfare
0x81ab904fce65bfbe4353cf30063273a1a0c3ba97
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.5K
Realised
$81.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
41577 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.1K
- YES
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
38151 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- NO
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
17025 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
14974 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
6919 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
4848 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-197.17
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
3341 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-433.53
- YES
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
3301 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
400 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
- NO
Will Min Hyung-bae win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election?
167 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.66
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$90.00Jun 1, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$277.42Jun 1, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$82.00Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$401.84Jun 1, 06:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$199.80Jun 1, 06:28 UTC
- REWARD$1.57May 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$930.71May 30, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$174.00May 29, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$10.35May 29, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$0.84May 29, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$40.65May 29, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$1.14May 29, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$1.63May 28, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$1.40May 28, 22:22 UTC
- REDEEMClaude 4.8 released by May 31?$0.00May 28, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMClaude 4.8 released by July 31?$157.55May 28, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMClaude 4.8 released by June 30?$623.84May 28, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$907.83May 28, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?$70.00May 28, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$68.88May 28, 08:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $174.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.