Blond-Fold
0x81b0ad8bd8f837eb9fe9363907c859701888fcfc
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-246.11
Realised
$-6.48
Win rate
0%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 9?
108 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
28 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
24 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
13 shares @ 78.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
12 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 2?$7.28Jul 2, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?$7.10Jul 2, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 2?$7.42Jul 2, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 2?$8.13Jul 2, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 2?$10.45Jul 2, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 2?$7.77Jul 2, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 1?$7.10Jul 2, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 1?$7.51Jul 2, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 2?$0.51Jul 2, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 2?$0.14Jul 2, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 2?$5.16Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 2?$5.04Jul 2, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 2?$5.06Jul 1, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 2?$5.06Jul 1, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?$4.83Jul 1, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 2?$5.03Jul 1, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 2?$5.05Jul 1, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?$5.07Jul 1, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 2?$5.06Jul 1, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?$4.82Jul 1, 22:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 41 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
41 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 04:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 22:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.