Vengeful-Canoe
0x81c532897390e9eba991e11f3cf3006ebdae9d28
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$49.28
Total PnL
$-303.87
Realised
$-2.70
Win rate
10%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on August 23?
25 shares @ 19.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$24.33
$19.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 25?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$11.35
$1.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on August 24?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$4.70
$0.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 24?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$4.42
$-0.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 25?
20 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$2.50
$-0.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 24?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 24?
23 shares @ 10.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$0.80
$-1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C on August 23?
80 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.04
$-0.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on August 23?
53 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.03
$-3.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?
20 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.01
$-1.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 25?$3.20Aug 23, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 23?$1.05Aug 23, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on August 23?$5.20Aug 23, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 23?$5.62Aug 23, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 25?$10.37Aug 23, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 23?$2.09Aug 23, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on August 23?$1.03Aug 23, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on August 23?$0.07Aug 23, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on August 23?$0.70Aug 23, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on August 23?$0.33Aug 23, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on August 23?$0.14Aug 23, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on August 23?$0.23Aug 23, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 37°C on August 23?$0.17Aug 23, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on August 23?$1.24Aug 23, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 23?$3.40Aug 23, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 23?$0.97Aug 23, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 24?$2.61Aug 23, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 24?$5.18Aug 23, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 23?$1.00Aug 23, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 23?$3.77Aug 23, 10:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 48 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
48 closed markets, 10% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 05:20 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 16:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.