Red-Payment
0x81cc61b68b4de8f657312c952f38a23e889d87d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$14.01
Total PnL
$-7.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump out as President by April 30?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.90
$0.90
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
1 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Magdalena Biejat be the next President of Poland?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tanya Plibersek be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-1.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$10.00Apr 22, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$2.00Apr 22, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 14, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.21Nov 14, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.00Oct 18, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.00Oct 18, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 6-9?$15.51Oct 18, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out in 2025?$1.19Oct 18, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 6-9?$15.20Oct 7, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$0.00Oct 7, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$1.01Oct 7, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$1.00Sep 18, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Sep 9, 17:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? $1.37Sep 9, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joey Chestnut eat 70+ Hot Dogs? $1.00Jul 2, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$4.01Jul 2, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $3.00Jul 2, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.54Jul 2, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3.00Jun 27, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$4.00Jun 27, 20:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $8.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 06:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.