Puzzled-Politician
0x81d715eb0a336e9c1a316a7e10f25a4d93de1957
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$106.17
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$88.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOLPHINS
Patriots vs. Dolphins
106 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$106.17
$23.36
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?
14576 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-331.01
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?
13888 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-445.77
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?
6848 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-157.93
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?
6600 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-91.92
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
2100 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-199.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?
793 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.90
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?
250 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPatriots vs. Dolphins$82.81Nov 22, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$99.00Nov 9, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$28.05Nov 9, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$1.8KNov 9, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$371.08Nov 9, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$3.4KNov 9, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 8, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $1.0KNov 8, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 8, 17:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win New York Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 8, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?$115.19Nov 6, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.3KNov 6, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win New York Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 5, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump x Rogan interview last 90-120 min?$0.00Oct 29, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump x Rogan interview last 120-150 min?$0.00Oct 29, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump x Rogan interview last 60-90 min?$0.00Oct 29, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump x Rogan interview last 90-120 min?$29.82Oct 26, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump x Rogan interview last 120-150 min?$18.78Oct 26, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win New York Presidential Election?$48.60Oct 26, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump x Rogan interview last 120-150 min?$8.72Oct 26, 01:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $153.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 22, 07:13 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 22, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".