Disguised-Relative
0x81dc702f4a0e5c9a811a0319c57969de17a0ef47
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.05
Total PnL
$-16.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
8031 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
5116 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
4926 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
4924 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.5K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2658 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2463 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.04Jan 16, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.00Jan 15, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$16.0KDec 22, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$4.9KDec 22, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$120.03Dec 22, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.7KDec 22, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.7KDec 22, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.5KDec 22, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$8.0KDec 22, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$512.01Dec 22, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.5KDec 22, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$1.3KDec 22, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$626.99Dec 22, 08:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$4.9KDec 22, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.3KDec 22, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.3KDec 22, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.4KDec 22, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$55.53Dec 22, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.3KDec 22, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.3KDec 22, 08:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 06:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 03:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".