Political-Transparency
0x81e459bbc534911495a47fa58bf7005369c68206
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
449 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-26.91
- BUBLIK
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)
428 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-219.00
- MANCHESTER UNITED FC
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
400 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- BUBLIK
Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Bublik
392 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-200.08
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?
358 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-137.25
- YES
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?
280 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
214 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- MENSIK
Qatar Open: Arthur Fils vs Jakub Mensik
213 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-81.00
- YES
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-22?
207 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-72.44
- YES
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?
200 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?$222.96Mar 8, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?$113.71Mar 7, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?$96.66Mar 4, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrin$96.66Mar 4, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?$40.59Mar 4, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrin$100.00Mar 4, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)$80.00Mar 4, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?$220.59Mar 4, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?$150.00Mar 3, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$50.00Mar 2, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?$30.00Mar 2, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$26.91Mar 2, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill AS Roma vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?$156.25Mar 2, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?$50.00Mar 1, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$42.00Mar 1, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?$166.49Mar 1, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)$30.00Mar 1, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?$50.00Mar 1, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-01?$105.60Mar 1, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Brandon Nakashima$35.29Feb 26, 17:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $91.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 14:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 02:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".