Perfumed-Original
0x81e639365bd144b95a0007dac7b2092092c1beb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
1295 shares @ 38.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$835.50
$343.31
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
1300 shares @ 27.4¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$591.50
$235.51
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
255 shares @ 51.8¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$185.16
$52.91
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?
50000 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the US strike Cuba next?
19040 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-183.34
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
15404 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.7K
- YES
Gold missing from Fort Knox?
3125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?
2931 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
2259 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-399.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.15Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.